Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:40	ESPN
Australia	11:40	Stan Sport
Belgium	01:40	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:40	HBO Max
Brazil	21:40	ESPN
Bulgaria	02:40	HBO Max
Canada	19:40	RDS App
Colombia	19:40	ESPN
Croatia	01:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	01:40	HBO Max
Denmark	01:40	HBO Max
Finland	02:40	HBO Max
France	01:40	HBO Max
Hungary	01:40	HBO Max
Mexico	18:40	ESPN
Moldova	02:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	01:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	01:40	HBO Max
North Macedonia	01:40	HBO Max
Norway	01:40	HBO Max
Peru	19:40	ESPN
Poland	01:40	HBO Max
Romania	02:40	HBO Max
Serbia	01:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	01:40	HBO Max
Spain	01:40	HBO Max
Sweden	01:40	HBO Max
United Kingdom	00:40	Discovery+
Usa	19:40	ESPN USA
Venezuela	20:40	ESPN


	Aryna Sabalenka		Anastasia Potapova

	1	2
	1.04	13	Watch
	1.03	12	Watch
	1.09	7.31	Watch
	1.05	10	Watch
	1.03	15.5	Watch
	1.02	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.08)	11.97 ↑ (8.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
92%

Anastasia Potapova
8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

88.6%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Anastasia Potapova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Aryna Sabalenka - Anastasia Potapova Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Potapova will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 18.5 Games - under (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Potapova is ranked WTA: 55.

Sabalenka has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Potapova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sabalenka is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Australian Open
20.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Zhuoxuan Bai	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
11.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW
- Anastasia Potapova
WTA Australian Open
20.01.26	Anastasia Potapova - Emma Raducanu	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Suzan Lamens - Anastasia Potapova	1:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
12.01.26	Kimberly Birrell - Anastasia Potapova	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Anastasia Potapova	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Xiaodi You - Anastasia Potapova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
09.05.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Anastasia Potapova	2:0
WTA Stuttgart
18.04.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Anastasia Potapova	Sabalenka A. walkover
22.04.23	Anastasia Potapova - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2

Aryna Sabalenka - Anastasia Potapova