Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Samsun - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Anastasia Tikhonova		Mariia Tkacheva

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.30
	1.52	2.3
	1.56	2.3	Watch
	1.59	2.3
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.54	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.57)	2.32 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasia Tikhonova
59.9%

Mariia Tkacheva
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasia Tikhonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Mariia Tkacheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Tikhonova than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariia Tkacheva than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Anastasia Tikhonova - Mariia Tkacheva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tikhonova is ranked WTA: 256., and Tkacheva is ranked WTA: 663..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Tkacheva could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tikhonova holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Anastasia Tikhonova - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasia Tikhonova
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Anastasia Tikhonova - Simona Waltert	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Viktoria Hruncakova - Anastasia Tikhonova	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Anastasia Tikhonova - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
WTA Sao Paulo
13.09.26	Whitney Osuigwe - Anastasia Tikhonova	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Anastasia Tikhonova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLW
- Mariia Tkacheva
ITF Tournaments
16.09.26	Elena Milovanovic - Mariia Tkacheva	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Yasmin Ezzat - Mariia Tkacheva	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Maria Herazo Gonzalez - Mariia Tkacheva	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Sofia Martianova - Mariia Tkacheva	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Dune Vaissaud - Mariia Tkacheva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWWL

Anastasia Tikhonova - Mariia Tkacheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide