Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Trnava 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Trnava 3 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Anastasiya Soboleva		Claire Liu

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Anastasiya Soboleva
37.3%

Claire Liu
62.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasiya Soboleva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Claire Liu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasiya Soboleva than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Soboleva is ranked WTA: 303. Liu is ranked WTA: 210.

Soboleva is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Liu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Liu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Liu could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasiya Soboleva
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Anastasiya Soboleva - Aliona Falei	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Anastasiya Soboleva	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Verena Meliss - Anastasiya Soboleva	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Anastasiya Soboleva - Laura Hietaranta	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Oana Georgeta Simion - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW
- Claire Liu
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Harmony Tan - Claire Liu	1:2 ✺
11.05.26	Claire Liu - Yeon Woo Ku	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Tereza Valentova - Claire Liu	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Claire Liu - Alice Rame	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Francesca Curmi - Claire Liu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Claire Liu
WTA Guangzhou
29.10.26	Claire Liu - Katerina Siniakova	✺

Anastasiya Soboleva - Claire Liu