Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 4 - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Francesca Curmi		Claire Liu

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.39	Watch
	2.98	1.4
	2.99	1.35	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.73	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.62)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
33.2%

Claire Liu
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Claire Liu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Francesca Curmi - Claire Liu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Curmi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Liu will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 398. Liu is ranked WTA: 234.

Curmi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Liu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Liu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Liu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Liu will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Francesca Curmi - Georgia Pedone	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Beatrice Ricci - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Francesca Curmi - Alena Kovackova	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Francesca Curmi - Petra Konjikusic	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Francesca Curmi - Vendula Valdmannova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL
- Claire Liu
ITF Tournaments
18.04.26	Lisa Zaar - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Dalila Jakupovic - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Claire Liu - Alice Rame	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Kayla Day - Claire Liu	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Claire Liu - Tatiana Pieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

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