Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 July 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Ota K. (Jpn)


	Anastasiya Soboleva		Katarzyna Kawa

	1	2
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.62	2.31
	1.63	2.17	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.63	2.21	Watch
	1.61	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)	2.23 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasiya Soboleva
57.9%

Katarzyna Kawa
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasiya Soboleva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anastasiya Soboleva's performance.

Katarzyna Kawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Katarzyna Kawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasiya Soboleva than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anastasiya Soboleva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Katarzyna Kawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Anastasiya Soboleva - Katarzyna Kawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Soboleva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kawa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Soboleva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Soboleva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasiya Soboleva
ITF Tournaments
02.07.24	Anastasiya Soboleva - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.24	Destanee Aiava - Anastasiya Soboleva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Anastasiya Soboleva - Irene Burillo Escorihuela	Canceled ✺
06.06.24	Panna Udvardy - Anastasiya Soboleva	2:0 ✺
04.06.24	Anastasiya Soboleva - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LL?LW
- Katarzyna Kawa
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Katarzyna Kawa	Canceled ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.24	Alycia Parks - Katarzyna Kawa	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.06.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
WTA Nottingham
08.06.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Naiktha Bains	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
22.05.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Laura Pigossi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?LLLL

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