Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Makarska, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday


	Anastasiya Soboleva		Renata Zarazua

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.07	1.68	Watch
	2.19	1.7
	2.17	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.07	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.6)	1.68 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasiya Soboleva
44.3%

Renata Zarazua
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasiya Soboleva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anastasiya Soboleva's performance.

Renata Zarazua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Renata Zarazua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasiya Soboleva than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anastasiya Soboleva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renata Zarazua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Anastasiya Soboleva - Renata Zarazua Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Soboleva will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Zarazua will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Soboleva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soboleva is ranked WTA: 256. Zarazua is ranked WTA: 74.

Soboleva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zarazua has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zarazua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zarazua could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Soboleva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasiya Soboleva
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Anastasiya Soboleva - Amandine Hesse	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
25.05.25	Diana Shnaider - Anastasiya Soboleva	2:0 ✺
23.05.25	Anastasiya Soboleva - Francesca Jones	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Anastasiya Soboleva - Julie Belgraver	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Harriet Dart - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWW
- Renata Zarazua
WTA Roland Garros
25.05.25	Iva Jovic - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
18.05.25	McCartney Kessler - Renata Zarazua	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Cristina Bucsa - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Simona Waltert - Renata Zarazua	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Patricia Maria Tig - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.06.23	Renata Zarazua - Anastasiya Soboleva	1:2

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