Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday


	Andre Ilagan		Florent Bax

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.63	2.13	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.67	2.05	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.85)	2.07 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andre Ilagan
55.4%

Florent Bax
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andre Ilagan's performance.

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Florent Bax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andre Ilagan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Florent Bax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Andre Ilagan - Florent Bax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ilagan is ranked ATP: 352. Bax is ranked ATP: 288.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Andre Ilagan - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
11.01.26	Andre Ilagan - Christian Langmo	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Andre Ilagan - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Blake Ellis - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Andre Ilagan - Jake Delaney	2:1 ✺
13.11.25	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWL
- Florent Bax
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Hyeon Chung - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.12.25	Florent Bax - Chen Dong	Bax F. retired ✺
29.11.25	Robert Strombachs - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Kai Wehnelt - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LW?LW

Andre Ilagan - Florent Bax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide