Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Noumea, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Blake Ellis		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.68	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.7	2.01	Watch
	1.69	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)	2.02 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
54%

Andre Ilagan
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Blake Ellis - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ellis (votes: 2 - 50%). Ilagan (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ellis is ranked ATP: 509. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 355.

Ellis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ilagan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Andre Ilagan - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.05%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Pavle Marinkov - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Tai Sach - Blake Ellis	Sach T. walkover ✺
17.11.25	Blake Ellis - Shinji Hazawa	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	James Duckworth - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WL?WL
- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Andre Ilagan - Jake Delaney	2:1 ✺
13.11.25	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Andre Ilagan - Nicolas Arseneault	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Andre Ilagan - Oliver Tarvet	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL

Blake Ellis - Andre Ilagan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide