Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Andre Ilagan		Hayden Jones

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.25
	1.29	3.39	Watch
			Watch
	1.31	3.26	Watch
	1.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)	3.29 ↑ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andre Ilagan
71.7%

Hayden Jones
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andre Ilagan's performance.

Hayden Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hayden Jones might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayden Jones than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Andre Ilagan - Hayden Jones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ilagan is ranked ATP: 389. Jones is ranked ATP: 1122.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Jones could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ilagan is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Marat Sharipov - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Andre Ilagan - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Marat Sharipov - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Andre Ilagan - Masamichi Imamura	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Ergi Kirkin - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- Hayden Jones
ATP Challenger
19.04.25	Marat Sharipov - Hayden Jones	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.03.25	Hayden Jones - Etienne Donnet	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Hayden Jones	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Hayden Jones - Kuan-Shou Chen	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Hayden Jones - Filip Peliwo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWL

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