Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2 (Greece), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Ergi Kirkin		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.81	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.55)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
33.6%

Andre Ilagan
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ergi Kirkin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andre Ilagan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ergi Kirkin - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kirkin will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ilagan will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kirkin is ranked ATP: 300. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 386.

Kirkin is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ilagan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kirkin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ilagan will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Chris Rodesch - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
15.02.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Ergi Kirkin	Kirkin E. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Ergi Kirkin - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Billy Harris - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Ergi Kirkin - Jiri Vesely	Vesely J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 L?LL?
- Andre Ilagan
ITF Tournaments
27.02.25	Liam Broady - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Joao Graca - Andre Ilagan	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Andre Ilagan - Justin Engel	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	Andre Ilagan - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	Timofey Skatov - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW

Ergi Kirkin - Andre Ilagan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide