Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday


	Spencer Johnson		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.5	2.35	Watch
	1.6	2.46
	1.54	2.36
	1.58	2.4
	1.54	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)	2.37 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spencer Johnson
60.5%

Andre Ilagan
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spencer Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spencer Johnson than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Spencer Johnson - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Users Predictions: Spencer Johnson will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Johnson is ranked ATP: 524. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 243.

Johnson has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ilagan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ilagan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Johnson will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Johnson will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Johnson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spencer Johnson
ATP Challenger
07.08.26	Spencer Johnson - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
06.08.26	Spencer Johnson - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Moez Echargui - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Ryan Colby - Spencer Johnson	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Matthew Forbes - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
07.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Sebastian Gorzny	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Andre Ilagan	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Andres Andrade - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
26.07.26	Marcos Giron - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Andre Ilagan - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.05.25	Andre Ilagan - Spencer Johnson	2:1

Spencer Johnson - Andre Ilagan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide