The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Andre Ilagan 56.6%
Sebastian Gorzny 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.1%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andre Ilagan's form might have worsened.
Sebastian Gorzny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Gorzny's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andre Ilagan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Gorzny than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Gorzny, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Andre Ilagan - Sebastian Gorzny Predictions
Users Predictions:
Andre Ilagan will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Ilagan is ranked ATP: 243.Gorzny is ranked ATP: 876.
Recent performances by Ilagan have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gorzny is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Gorzny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ilagan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
Last Results with these Odds
Andre Ilagan - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.02%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
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