Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - Quarter-finalsDate: 7 August 2026, Friday
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Andre Ilagan |
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Sebastian Gorzny |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
- The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Andre Ilagan
56.6% | Sebastian Gorzny
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andre Ilagan's form might have worsened.Sebastian Gorzny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Gorzny's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andre Ilagan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Gorzny than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Gorzny, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
Andre Ilagan will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Ilagan is ranked ATP: 243. Gorzny is ranked ATP: 876.Recent performances by Ilagan have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Gorzny is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Gorzny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Ilagan will hold a modest advantage in this match. In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
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Last Results with these Odds
Andre Ilagan - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.02%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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