The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Andrea Arnaboldi 35.1%
Frederico Ferreira Silva 64.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
59.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
59.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Arnaboldi's form might have worsened.
Frederico Ferreira Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frederico Ferreira Silva's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Arnaboldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frederico Ferreira Silva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
0%
62.5%
Andrea Arnaboldi - Frederico Ferreira Silva Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Ferreira Silva will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ferreira Silva: 45.7% – 79.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.
Ferreira Silva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Arnaboldi will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferreira Silva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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