Match Info

Date: 16 November 2021, Tuesday


	Andrea Arnaboldi		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.32	1.63
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.41	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.2)	1.6 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Arnaboldi
41.6%

Pavel Kotov
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Andrea Arnaboldi - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: Pavel Kotov will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arnaboldi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
12.11.21	Manuel Guinard - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
11.11.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Thomas Fabbiano	2:1 ✺
09.11.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
23.10.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
21.10.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Stockholm
08.11.21	Andrea Vavassori - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Egor Gerasimov - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
06.11.21	Raul Brancaccio - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.11.21	Pavel Kotov - Cem Ilkel	1:2 ✺
01.11.21	Pavel Kotov - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.01.19	Pavel Kotov - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:0

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