Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANREMO (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2023, Tuesday


	Andrea Vavassori		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.62	2.05
	1.7	2.1
	1.7	2.17
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.06	Watch
	1.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.09)	2.06 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Andrea Vavassori
54.8%

Pavel Kotov
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Vavassori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Vavassori's performance.

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pavel Kotov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Vavassori that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pavel Kotov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Andrea Vavassori - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vavassori will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Kotov will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Vavassori is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kotov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vavassori won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Challenger
27.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
26.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Gabriel Decamps	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
17.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
15.03.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Miami
23.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Radu Albot - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
20.03.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
08.11.21	Andrea Vavassori - Pavel Kotov	2:0
ATP Challenger
21.08.19	Pavel Kotov - Andrea Vavassori	2:0

Upcoming Matches