Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Concepcion 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gonzalo Bueno		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	3.18	1.39
	2.26	1.58	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.89	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.25)	1.4 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Bueno
33.1%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
66.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gonzalo Bueno's form might have worsened.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gonzalo Bueno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gonzalo Bueno - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Bueno is ranked ATP: 215. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 107.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Barrios Vera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barrios Vera will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bueno won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Bueno - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
23.01.26	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Mateus Alves - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Michael Zheng	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	Canceled
30.10.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2
07.03.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2

Upcoming Matches