Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MONTEVIDEO (URUGUAY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 November 2023, Thursday


	Andrea Collarini		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.95	1.78	Watch
	1.97	1.77	Watch
	1.95	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.4)	1.77 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Collarini
47.5%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Collarini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Collarini's form might have worsened.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Collarini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	0%	90.6%

Andrea Collarini - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Collarini will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 29 - 90.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrios Vera: 80.5% – 100%.

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Preview

Collarini is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barrios Vera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Collarini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
14.11.23	Franco Roncadelli - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
16.10.23	Marco Trungelliti - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
09.10.23	Andrea Collarini - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Orlando Luz - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Andrea Collarini - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
13.11.23	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Edoardo Lavagno	1:2 ✺
19.10.23	Mariano Navone - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
16.10.23	Guido Andreozzi - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.01.23	Andrea Collarini - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0

Andrea Collarini - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide