Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTA FE 2 (ARGENTINA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 19 October 2023, Thursday


	Mariano Navone		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.85	2.02
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.86	1.89	Watch
	1.9	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	1.93 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
51.2%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Navone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Mariano Navone - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navone in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barrios Vera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Navone to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Navone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
18.10.23	Francisco Comesana - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
17.10.23	Mariano Navone - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Federico Coria - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
13.10.23	Franco Agamenone - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWWWW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
18.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
16.10.23	Guido Andreozzi - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Gastao Elias - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
10.10.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	Canceled ✺
30.09.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.06.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mariano Navone	0:2
16.03.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mariano Navone	2:1

Mariano Navone - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide