Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8 (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Alexander Weis

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.26	1.55
	2.23	1.6
	2.28	1.56	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.35	1.54	Watch
	2.26	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.18)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
41.2%

Alexander Weis
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Andrea Guerrieri - Alexander Weis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 573. Weis is ranked ATP: 357.

Recent matches Guerrieri is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Weis is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guerrieri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Weis will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
16.09.24	Christoph Negritu - Andrea Guerrieri	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.24	Dragos Nicolae Cazacu - Andrea Guerrieri	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Toprak Avcibasi - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Andrea Picchione - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL
- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
27.08.24	Alexander Weis - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Alexander Weis - Max Hans Rehberg	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.08.24	Mika Brunold - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
21.08.24	Pietro Pampanin - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW

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