Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2024, Monday

Referee: Svjetlanovic S. (Bih)


	Gonzalo Bueno		Alexander Weis

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.8	1.95	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.82	1.92	Watch
	1.83	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Bueno
50.8%

Alexander Weis
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Alexander Weis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Gonzalo Bueno - Alexander Weis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bueno is ranked ATP: 288. Weis is ranked ATP: 353.

Recent matches Bueno is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Weis is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bueno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
26.08.24	Zsombor Piros - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
29.07.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
26.07.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Jan Choinski - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
23.07.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWW
- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
27.08.24	Alexander Weis - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Alexander Weis - Max Hans Rehberg	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.08.24	Mika Brunold - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
21.08.24	Pietro Pampanin - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Alexander Weis - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

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