Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 HERAKLION 3 (GREECE), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Martin Klizan

	1	2
	1.83	1.85
	1.95	1.75
	1.87	1.89
	1.88	1.89
	1.91	1.8
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.91	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.42)	1.83 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
49.3%

Martin Klizan
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Guerrieri's performance.

Martin Klizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Martin Klizan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Guerrieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Klizan than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Martin Klizan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Guerrieri is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Klizan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guerrieri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ITF Tournaments
22.03.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Milan Welte	2:1 ✺
21.03.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Osgar OHoisin	2:0 ✺
20.03.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Jake Van Emburgh	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Henrik Wiersholm	1:2 ✺
15.03.24	Adam Heinonen - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW
- Martin Klizan
ITF Tournaments
22.03.24	Gabriel Decamps - Martin Klizan	Decamps G. retired ✺
21.03.24	Martin Klizan - Filip Peliwo	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Martin Klizan - Aleksandre Bakshi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.24	Martin Klizan - Rudolf Molleker	0:2 ✺
29.01.24	Martin Klizan - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 ?WWLW

Andrea Guerrieri - Martin Klizan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide