Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
	1.77	1.94
	1.84	2.08
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.79	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.51)	1.96 ↓ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
52.2%

Max Alcala Gurri
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Guerrieri's form might have worsened.

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Max Alcala Gurri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrea Guerrieri - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrea Guerrieri will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 252. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 350.

Guerrieri is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Alcala Gurri is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alcala Gurri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guerrieri could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Guerrieri will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Guerrieri - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.6%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
21.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Oleg Prihodko	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Massimo Giunta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
21.05.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Stefan Dostanic - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Sandro Kopp - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.05.26	Iliyan Radulov - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Andrea Guerrieri - Max Alcala Gurri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide