Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Carlo Alberto Caniato

	1	2
	1.46	2.55
	1.5	2.68
	1.47	2.48	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.44)	2.55 ↓ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
63.4%

Carlo Alberto Caniato
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrea Guerrieri - Carlo Alberto Caniato Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guerrieri will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 252. Caniato is ranked ATP: 376.

Guerrieri is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Caniato is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guerrieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guerrieri might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Guerrieri will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Guerrieri - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Carlo Alberto Caniato - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
20.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Oleg Prihodko	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Massimo Giunta	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW
- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
20.05.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Lorenzo Carboni	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Laslo Djere - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Miguel Damas - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Alessandro Spadola - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW

Andrea Guerrieri - Carlo Alberto Caniato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide