Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BAD WALTERSDORF (AUSTRIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 September 2023, Monday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.83	1.45
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.82	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)	1.41 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
33.6%

Jurij Rodionov
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Andrea Pellegrino - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: Jurij Rodionov will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pellegrino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rodionov is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rodionov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rodionov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
04.09.23	Zsombor Piros - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
15.08.23	Moez Echargui - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Nerman Fatic	Fatic N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLL?
- Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup World Group I
16.09.23	Jurij Rodionov - Joao Sousa	Canceled ✺
15.09.23	Jurij Rodionov - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.23	Vit Kopriva - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
05.09.23	Elmar Ejupovic - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Jurij Rodionov - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 ?LLWL

Andrea Pellegrino - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide