Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Nerman Fatic

	1	2
	1.61	2.24	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)	2.27 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
59%

Nerman Fatic
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.

Nerman Fatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nerman Fatic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nerman Fatic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Andrea Pellegrino - Nerman Fatic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 136. Fatic is ranked ATP: 231.

Pellegrino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fatic is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Pellegrino might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pellegrino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Nerman Fatic - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Johannes Ingildsen	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Jan Choinski - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Mateusz Lange	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW
- Nerman Fatic
ITF Tournaments
28.09.25	Nerman Fatic - Dusan Obradovic	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Nerman Fatic - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Nerman Fatic - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Nerman Fatic - Tomas Farjat	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Nerman Fatic - Lorenzo Ferri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Nerman Fatic	2:0
05.08.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Nerman Fatic	Fatic N. retired

Andrea Pellegrino - Nerman Fatic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide