Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Tallon Griekspoor

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	4	1.24	Watch
	3.6	1.28	Watch
	4.01	1.28
			Watch
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.72	1.28	Watch
	3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
25.8%

Tallon Griekspoor
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Pellegrino's form might have worsened.

Tallon Griekspoor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tallon Griekspoor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Andrea Pellegrino - Tallon Griekspoor Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Griekspoor will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Griekspoor: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Griekspoor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 139. Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 29.

Pellegrino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Griekspoor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pellegrino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Griekspoor is the team to beat.

We predict that Griekspoor will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pellegrino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Tallon Griekspoor - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 68.81%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Bastad
15.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
14.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Stefano Travaglia - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL
- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Jenson Brooksby - Tallon Griekspoor	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
28.06.25	Corentin Moutet - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Gabriel Diallo - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Ethan Quinn - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.10.21	Tallon Griekspoor - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0

Andrea Pellegrino - Tallon Griekspoor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide