Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2	Watch
	1.76	2.03	Watch
	1.77	2.12
			Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.76	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.94)	2.04 ↑ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
53.5%

Jaime Faria
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaime Faria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaime Faria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Andrea Pellegrino - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Faria will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pellegrino: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Faria (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 139. Faria is ranked ATP: 115.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Faria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Bastad
14.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Stefano Travaglia - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW
- Jaime Faria
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Jaime Faria - Lorenzo Sonego	0:3 ✺
26.06.25	Jaime Faria - Kyrian Jacquet	3:1 ✺
25.06.25	Jaime Faria - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Jaime Faria - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.25	Jaime Faria - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWL

Andrea Pellegrino - Jaime Faria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide