Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8 (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday


	Andrea Picchione		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	2.29	1.53
	2.44	1.53
	2.31	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.24	1.59	Watch
	2.29	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (3.23)	1.53 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Picchione
39.6%

Daniel Michalski
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Picchione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Picchione's performance.

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Michalski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Picchione that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Michalski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Andrea Picchione - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Picchione is ranked ATP: 353. Michalski is ranked ATP: 372.

Picchione is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Michalski is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Picchione could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Michalski is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Michalski to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Picchione
ITF Tournaments
25.09.24	Andrea Picchione - Kasra Rahmani	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Andrea Picchione - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Andrea Picchione	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Gabriele Vulpitta - Andrea Picchione	1:2 ✺
17.09.24	Matteo Mura - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWW
- Daniel Michalski
ITF Tournaments
25.09.24	Giovanni Oradini - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
24.09.24	Federico Iannaccone - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Niccolo Catini - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Daniel Michalski - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
19.09.24	Lorenzo Carboni - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

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