Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Giovanni Oradini		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	3.3	1.3
	2.90	1.35	Watch
	3.2	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.5)	1.32 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Oradini
29.6%

Daniel Michalski
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Oradini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Oradini's form might have worsened.

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Michalski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Oradini than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Oradini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Michalski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Giovanni Oradini - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Oradini is ranked ATP: 585. Michalski is ranked ATP: 338.

Oradini has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Michalski is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Oradini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Michalski is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Michalski will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oradini won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Oradini - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.66%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Daniel Michalski - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.34%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Oradini
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Alexey Shtengelov - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Giovanni Oradini - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Oleksii Krutykh - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Tommaso Compagnucci - Giovanni Oradini	Oradini G. retired ✺
25.09.25	Federico Bove - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLW?W
- Daniel Michalski
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Sebastiano Cocola - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Daniel Michalski - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Daniel Michalski - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Daniel Michalski - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Daniel Michalski - Pierluigi Basile	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.09.24	Giovanni Oradini - Daniel Michalski	0:2
28.10.23	Giovanni Oradini - Daniel Michalski	0:2

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