Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Andrea Picchione		Miguel Damas

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.7
	2.17	1.65	Watch
	2.12	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.74)	1.68 ↓ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Picchione
44.2%

Miguel Damas
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Picchione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Picchione's form might have worsened.

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miguel Damas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Picchione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Damas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Andrea Picchione - Miguel Damas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Damas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Miguel Damas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Picchione is ranked ATP: 393. Damas is ranked ATP: 363.

Picchione is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Damas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Damas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Picchione
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Andrea Picchione	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Dan Alexandru Tomescu - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Sebastian Gima - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW
- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Miguel Damas - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Ryan Nijboer - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Miguel Damas - Maximilian Neuchrist	1:2 ✺
01.09.25	Miguel Damas - Alex Martinez	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Miguel Damas - Szymon Kielan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLW

Andrea Picchione - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide