Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday


	Corentin Denolly		Andrea Picchione

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.66	1.49
			Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.27)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Denolly
37.8%

Andrea Picchione
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Andrea Picchione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Corentin Denolly - Andrea Picchione Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Picchione (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Picchione (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games, 1st Set - Picchione (1.76) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Picchione (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Denolly is ranked ATP: 322. Picchione is ranked ATP: 407.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Denolly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Picchione will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Sandro Kopp	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.25	Matthew Donald - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Carles Hernandez - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Marcel Zielinski - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW
- Andrea Picchione
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Sebastian Gima - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Andrea Picchione	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Andrea Picchione	Picchione A. walkover ✺
02.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Eero Vasa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WL?WW

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