Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday


	Sebastian Gima		Andrea Picchione

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.69
	2.13	1.65	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.86)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Gima
44.1%

Andrea Picchione
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Gima's form might have worsened.

Andrea Picchione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Picchione's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sebastian Gima - Andrea Picchione Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gima will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Picchione will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gima: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Picchione (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gima is ranked ATP: 575. Picchione is ranked ATP: 366.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Gima - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.5%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Andrea Picchione - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.5%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Rudolf Molleker - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Piet Luis Pinter - Sebastian Gima	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Lorenzo Bocchi - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Nerman Fatic - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL
- Andrea Picchione
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Andrea Picchione	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Andrea Picchione	Picchione A. walkover ✺
02.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Eero Vasa	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Andrea Picchione - Simone Agostini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 L?WWW

Sebastian Gima - Andrea Picchione: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide