Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 27 April 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: MADRID (SPAIN) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	01:35	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:35	SportKlub
Brazil	12:35	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	18:35	Max Sport 1
Croatia	17:35	SportKlub
Czech Republic	17:35	Eurosport 2
Denmark	17:35	TV2 Sport
Finland	18:35	CMore Sport, Discovery+
France	17:35	Eurosport 1
Germany	17:35	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	16:35	Eleven Sports, Sport TV
Serbia	17:35	SportKlub
Slovenia	17:35	SportKlub
Sweden	17:35	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Ukraine	18:35	Setanta Sports


	Andrea Vavassori		Andy Murray

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.23	1.66
	2.23	1.67
	2.27	1.7
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.23	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.29)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Vavassori
42.3%

Andy Murray
57.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Vavassori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Andy Murray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.5%	0%	64.5%

Andrea Vavassori - Andy Murray Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Vavassori will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%). Murray will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Murray: 47.7% – 81.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vavassori is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Murray is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murray could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
24.04.23	Andrea Vavassori - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.04.23	Sebastian Ofner - Andrea Vavassori	2:1 ✺
19.04.23	Chun Hsin Tseng - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
18.04.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW
- Andy Murray
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Andy Murray - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.23	Jack Draper - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Andy Murray - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Andy Murray - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLW?

Andrea Vavassori - Andy Murray

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Andrea Vavassori - Andy Murray Predictions

Preview

Form

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