Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Absolu M. (Fra)


	Andrea Vavassori		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.1	1.35	Watch
	3.21	1.39
	3.21	1.39
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.39	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.67)	1.36 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Vavassori
29.6%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Vavassori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Vavassori's form might have worsened.

Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Bautista-Agut's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Vavassori, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Bautista-Agut, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Andrea Vavassori - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: Roberto Bautista-Agut will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Vavassori is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bautista-Agut is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vavassori could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bautista-Agut is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bautista-Agut to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vavassori won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Barcelona
14.04.24	Harold Mayot - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	David Jorda Sanchis - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Andrea Vavassori - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Pedro Cachin - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Valentin Vacherot - Andrea Vavassori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Karen Khachanov - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled ✺
15.04.24	Roman Safiullin - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.11.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Andrea Vavassori	2:0

Andrea Vavassori - Roberto Bautista-Agut: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide