Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Valentin Vacherot		Andrea Vavassori

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.9	Watch
	1.82	1.9	Watch
	1.88	1.95
	1.88	1.95
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.81	1.93	Watch
	1.85	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.1)	1.93 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
51.2%

Andrea Vavassori
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Vacherot's performance.

Andrea Vavassori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Vavassori might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Valentin Vacherot - Andrea Vavassori Predictions

Users Predictions: Valentin Vacherot will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

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Preview

Vacherot in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Vavassori is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vacherot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Vacherot to win the game is with odds 1.84.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Christian Garin - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.02.24	Valentin Vacherot - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	Wong C. walkover ✺
27.02.24	Valentin Vacherot - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Valentin Vacherot - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Dane Sweeny - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 W?WWW
- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Andrea Vavassori - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.24	Ethan Quinn - Andrea Vavassori	2:1 ✺
04.03.24	Damir Dzumhur - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
24.02.24	Matias Soto - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
16.02.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL

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