Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Dobrich (Bulgaria), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Svarova N. (Cze)


	Andrej Martin		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.9	1.92
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.82	1.92	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.85)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Martin
50.2%

Arthur Gea
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Martin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Andrej Martin - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrej Martin will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 678. Gea is ranked ATP: 355.

Martin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gea is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Martin
ATP Challenger
19.08.24	Vladyslav Orlov - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Luis Britto - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.08.24	Jakub Nicod - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	Luca Wiedenmann - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
15.08.24	Nico Hipfl - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW
- Arthur Gea
ITF Tournaments
15.08.24	Ivan Ivanov - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
14.08.24	Nikolay Nedelchev - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.08.24	Arthur Gea - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
30.07.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Arthur Gea	Canceled ✺
30.07.24	Brandon Holt - Arthur Gea	Holt B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWL??

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