Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Stellabotte N. (Ita)


	Brandon Holt		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.43	2.84
	1.45	2.64	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.59	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)	2.6 ↑ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Holt
64.1%

Arthur Gea
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Holt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Holt than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Brandon Holt - Arthur Gea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Holt is ranked ATP: 233. Gea is ranked ATP: 373.

Recent matches Holt is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Holt will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.63%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Holt
ATP Challenger
26.07.24	Jacob Fearnley - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
25.07.24	Brandon Holt - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
23.07.24	Brandon Holt - Andrew Fenty	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Brandon Holt - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Brandon Holt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
22.07.24	Mitchell Krueger - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
09.07.24	Jeffrey John Wolf - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
20.06.24	Richard Berankis - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
20.06.24	Arthur Gea - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

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