Match Info

Date: 22 November 2020, Sunday


	Andrej Martin		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.12	1.7	Watch
	2.11	1.62
	2.31	1.65
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Martin
43.7%

Francisco Cerundolo
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63%	0%	37%

Andrej Martin - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Martin will win (votes: 29 - 63%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 17 - 37%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martin: 49% – 77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Martin
ATP Challenger
21.11.20	Jesper De Jong - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
20.11.20	Andrej Martin - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
18.11.20	Andrej Martin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
16.11.20	Andrej Martin - Roberto Ortega-Olmedo	2:0 ✺
ATP Sofia
10.11.20	Gilles Simon - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
21.11.20	Francisco Cerundolo - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
20.11.20	Francisco Cerundolo - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
18.11.20	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
16.11.20	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
06.10.20	Francisco Cerundolo - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWL

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