Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: LYON (FRANCE), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.35	1.33
	3.1	1.36
	3.14	1.42
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.35	Watch
	3.4	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.73)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
29.8%

Francisco Cerundolo
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Varillas will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Varillas Patino-Samudio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Varillas Patino-Samudio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Lyon
21.05.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.23	Dominik Koepfer - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
20.04.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLL
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Roma
17.05.23	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
16.05.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Jannik Sinner	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Gregoire Barrere - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
12.05.23	Yibing Wu - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Cachin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.10.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1
18.11.20	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2
26.09.19	Francisco Cerundolo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0

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