Match Info

Date: 20 November 2020, Friday


	Andrej Martin		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.46	2.47
	1.49	2.64
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.65)	2.52 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Martin
62.9%

Sebastian Baez
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Martin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrej Martin's performance.

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Baez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Andrej Martin - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrej Martin will win (60 of 64 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.82% – 99.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Martin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Martin
ATP Challenger
18.11.20	Andrej Martin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
16.11.20	Andrej Martin - Roberto Ortega-Olmedo	2:0 ✺
ATP Sofia
10.11.20	Gilles Simon - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
31.10.20	Federico Delbonis - Andrej Martin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.10.20	Andrej Martin - Joao Domingues	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Challenger
18.11.20	Sebastian Baez - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
17.11.20	Sebastian Baez - Roberto Quiroz	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.10.20	Raul Brancaccio - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
03.10.20	Sebastian Baez - Uladzimir Ignatik	1:2 ✺
02.10.20	Vit Kopriva - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLW

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