Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Andrej Martin		Jay Clarke

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.46
	2.54	1.56
	2.71	1.4	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.53	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.09)	1.46 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Martin
36%

Jay Clarke
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrej Martin's form might have worsened.

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jay Clarke's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Andrej Martin - Jay Clarke Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Clarke (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 Games - Martin (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Martin (votes: 1 - 50%). Clarke (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 453. Clarke is ranked ATP: 184.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Martin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jay Clarke - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Martin
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Mathys Erhard - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Andrej Martin - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Nicholas David Ionel - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Bora Sengul - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLW
- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Maik Steiner - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Jay Clarke - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Masamichi Imamura - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Yusuke Takahashi - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Denis Yevseyev - Jay Clarke	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLW?

Andrej Martin - Jay Clarke: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide