Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Mathys Erhard		Andrej Martin

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.63	2.14
	1.72	2.21
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.66	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	2.13 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
56.1%

Andrej Martin
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mathys Erhard - Andrej Martin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Erhard will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Martin will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Martin (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Martin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Erhard is ranked ATP: 330. Martin is ranked ATP: 453.

Erhard is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Martin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erhard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Mathys Erhard - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Mathys Erhard - Izan Almazan Valiente	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Mathys Erhard - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Mathys Erhard - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Andrej Martin
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Andrej Martin - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Nicholas David Ionel - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Bora Sengul - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Gian Luca Tanner - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Andrej Martin - Mathys Erhard	2:0

Mathys Erhard - Andrej Martin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide