Match Info

Date: 12 October 2020, Monday


	Andrej Martin		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	2.9	1.41	Watch
	2.95	1.37
	3.16	1.39
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.96	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.88)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Martin
32%

Tommy Paul
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Andrej Martin - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paul is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Martin
ATP Sardinia
11.10.20	Andrej Martin - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
10.10.20	Andrej Martin - JC Aragone	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.10.20	Andrej Martin - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
29.09.20	Andrej Martin - Joao Sousa	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
14.09.20	Andrej Martin - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Tommy Paul
ATP Roland Garros
30.09.20	Casper Ruud - Tommy Paul	3:2 ✺
28.09.20	Tommy Paul - James Duckworth	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
23.09.20	Tommy Paul - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
21.09.20	Tommy Paul - Kevin Anderson	2:1 ✺
20.09.20	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW

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