Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Andres Martin		Johannus Monday

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.31	1.66
	2.14	1.63	Watch
			Watch
	2.26	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.33)	1.62 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andres Martin
42.1%

Johannus Monday
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andres Martin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Johannus Monday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Martin than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andres Martin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Johannus Monday than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Johannus Monday could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Andres Martin - Johannus Monday Predictions

Users Predictions: Johannus Monday will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Johannus Monday will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 287. Monday is ranked ATP: 238.

Recent performances by Martin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Monday is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Martin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monday is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Monday will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andres Martin
ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Liam Draxl - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Andres Martin - James Kent Trotter	Canceled ✺
16.10.25	Andres Martin - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Andrew Fenty - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 W?LWL
- Johannus Monday
ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Alfredo Perez - Johannus Monday	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Johannus Monday - Michael Zheng	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Johannus Monday - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Johannus Monday - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Johannus Monday - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWW

Andres Martin - Johannus Monday: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide