Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday


	Liam Draxl		Andres Martin

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.37	2.85
	1.36	3.23
	1.39	2.72	Watch
	1.4	2.83	Watch
	1.27	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.3)	3.01 ↓ (3.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
68.9%

Andres Martin
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Andres Martin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Martin than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Liam Draxl - Andres Martin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 122. Martin is ranked ATP: 287.

Draxl is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Martin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Draxl may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Draxl is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Draxl won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Liam Draxl - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
11.10.25	Liam Draxl - Marc-Andrea Huesler	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Christopher OConnell - Liam Draxl	O'Connell C. retired ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Valentin Vacherot - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLL?L
- Andres Martin
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Andres Martin - James Kent Trotter	Canceled ✺
16.10.25	Andres Martin - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Andrew Fenty - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Benjamin Hassan - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?LWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Andres Martin - Liam Draxl	0:2
ATP Challenger
11.11.23	Andres Martin - Liam Draxl	1:2

Liam Draxl - Andres Martin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide