Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Johannus Monday		Martin Damm

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.99	1.87
	2.31	1.53	Watch
	1.91	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)	1.76 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johannus Monday
46.4%

Martin Damm
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johannus Monday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Johannus Monday's performance.

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Martin Damm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johannus Monday than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Johannus Monday that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Martin Damm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Johannus Monday - Martin Damm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Monday is ranked ATP: 230. Damm is ranked ATP: 240.

Monday is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Damm has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Damm will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johannus Monday
ATP Challenger
17.10.25	Johannus Monday - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Johannus Monday - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Johannus Monday - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Tyler Zink - Johannus Monday	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Alex Rybakov - Johannus Monday	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLW
- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
17.10.25	Martin Damm - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Martin Damm - Oliver Tarvet	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Martin Damm - Nicolas Arseneault	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Olle Wallin - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Michael Zheng - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL

Johannus Monday - Martin Damm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide