Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santo Domingo 2 (Dominican Republic), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santo Domingo 2 (Dominican Republic) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Andrew Fenty		Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar

	1	2
	2.86	1.39
	3	1.36
	2.85	1.38	Watch
	2.87	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.38)	1.38 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrew Fenty
32.2%

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
67.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrew Fenty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrew Fenty than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrew Fenty that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Fenty is ranked ATP: 973. Aguilar is ranked ATP: 487.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Fenty could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aguilar is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrew Fenty
ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Andrew Fenty - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Kylian Collignon - Andrew Fenty	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Andrew Fenty - Isaac Nortey	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Andrew Fenty - Jesse Flores	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Daniel De Jonge - Andrew Fenty	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL
- Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
05.03.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Bruno Kuzuhara	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.25	Murphy Cassone - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
28.01.25	Jackson Ross - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW

Andrew Fenty - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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