Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cleveland (USA), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday


	Murphy Cassone		Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar

	1	2
	1.18	4.5	Watch
	1.18	4.25
	1.17	4.4	Watch
	1.18	4.95
	1.17	4.68
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.18	4.46	Watch
	1.17	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (2.1)	4.5 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
79.2%

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Murphy Cassone's performance.

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-34.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-36.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Murphy Cassone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+36.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Murphy Cassone - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cassone will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Aguilar will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 270. Aguilar is ranked ATP: 505.

Cassone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aguilar in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Aguilar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cassone is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
27.01.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
17.01.25	Vit Kopriva - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
16.01.25	Murphy Cassone - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Murphy Cassone - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Valentin Vacherot - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW
- Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
ATP Challenger
28.01.25	Jackson Ross - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.01.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Rafael De Alba	2:1 ✺
17.01.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
16.01.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Benjamin Thomas George	George B. T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWW?

Murphy Cassone - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide