Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HAMBURG (GERMANY) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Andrew Paulson		Daniel Masur

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.68	2.05
	1.47	2.6
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.83)	2.31 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrew Paulson
59.6%

Daniel Masur
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrew Paulson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrew Paulson's performance.

Daniel Masur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Masur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrew Paulson than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrew Paulson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Masur than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Masur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Paulson is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Masur is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Masur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paulson won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrew Paulson
ATP Challenger
11.10.23	Andrew Paulson - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
10.10.23	Andrew Paulson - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.10.23	Valentin Vacherot - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Andrew Paulson - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Luka Mikrut - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWW
- Daniel Masur
ATP Challenger
05.09.23	Sumit Nagal - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
04.09.23	Daniel Masur - David Pichler	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Daniel Masur - Syl Gaxherri	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Daniel Masur - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
21.08.23	Daniel Masur - Mats Moraing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.03.22	Daniel Masur - Andrew Paulson	2:0

Andrew Paulson - Daniel Masur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide