Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRATISLAVA 2 (SLOVAKIA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 11 October 2023, Wednesday


	Andrew Paulson		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.56	1.53
	2.5	1.5
	3.1	1.33	Watch
	2.43	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.8)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrew Paulson
36.1%

Luca Nardi
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrew Paulson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrew Paulson than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Andrew Paulson - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Nardi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paulson in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Nardi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nardi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrew Paulson
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Andrew Paulson - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.10.23	Valentin Vacherot - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Andrew Paulson - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Luka Mikrut - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
28.09.23	Ryuki Matsuda - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Luca Nardi - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Tomas Machac - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
05.10.23	Luca Nardi - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Adrien Gobat - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
27.09.23	Luca Nardi - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWL

Andrew Paulson - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide